Collective Intelligence
Insight, news and design inspiration for the education sector.

The price of a full class

ISC schools lost 19,029 pupils in the year to January, a 3.5% fall. Year 7 shrank 5.6%.

Some schools are still filling every desk.
But often at a price.

Fee assistance reaches 183,705 pupils (34.9% of the total) and is worth £2.1bn.

Councils and other outside funders supply £917m, most of it for SEND places.

Schools give the remaining £1.1bn.
Just under half of that is means-tested.

The larger share, £589m, goes to families whatever their income: 57,015 scholarships and 72,911 sibling, staff, forces and clergy reductions.

Headline fees rose 4.4% before VAT.

But the census does not record what families actually pay.

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Follow one family through the gate.

A bursar offers a fifth off an empty Year 7 desk, badged as a scholarship.

On the average senior day fee of £19,476, that is £3,895, close to the average scholarship. 

Small money, and the class is full.

But if fees keep rising at 4.4%, the place lists at about £25,000 by Year 13. The family discount has crept to £5,000.

A brother follows two years later. The parents assume the same terms and the school is in no position to argue.

After nine years, one discount has opened a £65,000 gap below the list. And the parents have friends at the next open morning.

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Governors see a full headcount.
The prospectus needs no rewrite.

The danger builds slowly, out of sight, then arrives all at once: a cohort that cannot be discounted into existence, a lender asking about yield, a merger conversation nobody planned to have.

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Words by Tom Woods

Five checks before the next discount

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